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2008-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Tiedeman 36 3-9 1-5 7-8 4 4 0 0 1 14 12 -
M. Bauscher 35 8-10 5-6 2-4 4 4 2 1 0 23 24 -
M. Nelson 33 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 1 1 6 12 -
R. Larry 31 7-11 2-2 7-9 6 0 2 0 3 23 17 -
A. Thomas 27 1-8 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Garner 22 4-6 3-4 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 14 11 -
M. Sanchez 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
K. Cunningham 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
P. Noonan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carroll 38 7-17 6-12 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 20 8 -
T. Newbold 34 5-8 4-6 2-3 0 0 1 1 2 16 8 -
K. Clark 31 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 7 2 1 1 7 12 -
G. Wilkinson 30 5-8 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 12 9 -
S. DuCharme 26 6-8 0-0 5-5 7 0 0 0 0 17 16 -
T. Wesley 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 2 4 4 8 -
P. Williams 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
D. Stephens 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter