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2008-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Young 39 9-14 0-1 4-4 4 1 3 1 2 22 15 -
L. Fields 36 3-10 0-3 6-8 5 4 1 0 1 12 11 -
R. Ramon 35 5-10 2-5 2-5 5 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
T. Biggs 31 2-4 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
K. Benjamin 25 3-9 0-3 2-6 4 4 2 0 1 8 8 -
G. Brown 25 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 1 2 4 3 -
D. Blair 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 3 2 5 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 35 3-16 0-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 8 -1 -
L. Hayward 29 3-10 2-4 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
W. Matthews 27 2-7 1-2 5-5 9 2 1 0 1 10 14 -
J. McNeal 26 7-12 1-3 2-2 3 1 3 0 5 17 7 -
D. Burke 23 1-4 0-0 2-5 10 0 0 1 0 4 11 -
D. Cubillan 20 1-7 1-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Acker 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -4 -
O. Barro 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
D. Fitzgerald 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
T. Mbakwe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Blackledge 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter