Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Williams | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| L. Wade | 23 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Lamb | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 38 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| B. Murdock | 35 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Burgess | 32 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 30 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Collinsworth | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Fredette | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Miles | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter