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2008-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lighty 40 5-14 1-4 1-3 4 2 2 1 0 12 7 -
J. Butler 35 3-8 2-7 3-3 2 4 0 0 2 11 7 -
O. Hunter 33 4-6 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 5 2 10 15 -
E. Turner 32 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 2 6 9 -
K. Koufos 31 8-13 2-3 1-3 5 1 0 2 3 19 11 -
M. Terwilliger 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
P.J. Hill 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Diebler 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Lauderdale 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 37 9-17 6-12 4-4 5 1 1 0 2 28 16 -
R. Morgan 33 3-14 0-2 2-5 6 2 2 2 2 8 4 -
D. Naymick 30 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 2 0 2 13 -
K. Lucas 28 4-13 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 8 2 -
T. Walton 25 0-1 0-0 5-6 0 5 1 1 2 5 9 -
G. Suton 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 2 1 0 6 13 -
C. Allen 12 0-4 0-2 3-5 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Summers 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Gray 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter