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2008-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 37 4-10 2-7 4-6 4 1 0 0 1 14 8 -
A. Gordon 34 6-11 5-10 5-6 0 0 1 0 1 22 11 -
A.J. Ogilvy 33 4-8 0-0 6-9 7 2 0 3 3 14 15 -
J. Beal 32 3-5 1-2 5-5 1 3 1 0 0 12 12 -
R. Neltner 21 0-4 0-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
A. Walker 20 2-4 0-0 0-2 1 2 2 1 1 4 5 -
J. Graham 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Metcalfe 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. McClellan 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 39 3-11 0-5 5-7 7 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
G. Ervin 36 5-7 1-2 7-7 4 3 1 0 3 18 16 -
S. Weems 30 1-9 0-1 1-2 6 4 1 1 4 3 2 -
D. Townes 26 8-13 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 0 1 18 13 -
C. Thomas 25 5-10 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 13 8 -
S. Welsh 14 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 11 6 -
S. Hill 13 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
V. Hunter 12 2-4 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Washington 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
M. Britt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter