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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 37 6-13 1-7 0-2 5 3 1 0 3 13 6 -
M. Johnson 30 5-8 3-4 13-16 4 2 2 0 1 26 25 -
K. Huelsman 26 0-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 1 2 1 -1 -
C. Little 25 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 5 5 -
J. Binnie 24 2-9 2-6 1-2 3 1 2 0 2 7 2 -
A. Sandoval 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
L. Warren 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
M. Perry 16 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Searcy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Burrell 38 3-8 2-4 5-6 2 3 0 0 3 13 7 -
D. Brown 35 4-7 0-2 3-6 9 1 3 0 1 11 16 -
D. Lavender 32 3-11 3-7 3-4 3 6 1 0 1 12 10 -
C.J. Anderson 28 4-7 0-0 7-8 7 1 0 0 4 15 12 -
J. Duncan 28 5-11 3-5 3-4 6 0 1 1 1 16 12 -
J. Love 15 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 1 2 4 7 -
B.J. Raymond 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Jackson 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
A. Graves 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter