Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 37 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 30 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 13-16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Little | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Binnie | 24 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Warren | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Searcy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell | 38 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Brown | 35 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Lavender | 32 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Duncan | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Love | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Jackson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Graves | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter