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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -8 (47-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 37 6-15 2-4 5-6 2 3 0 2 3 19 8 -
K. Grady 32 1-3 1-2 1-3 1 3 0 0 2 4 3 -
A. Wright 32 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 9 7 -
D. Sims 27 5-10 2-5 2-2 10 0 1 0 1 14 14 -
E. Udoh 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 3 1 2 7 -
R. Coleman 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Gibson 13 2-5 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
C.J. Lee 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Shepherd 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Merritt 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tate 37 3-6 0-0 10-17 11 0 2 1 4 16 20 -
S. Gorney 37 1-6 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Johnson 37 2-12 1-9 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 -2 -
J. Kelly 36 5-11 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 11 -2 -
T. Freeman 32 3-9 0-5 3-4 2 0 0 1 2 9 1 -
J. Peterson 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Looby 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Bohall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter