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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 โœ— (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—

Actual: UCF Knights -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.L. Horton 38 4-7 2-2 8-13 1 3 0 1 1 18 15 -
S. Stone 33 2-6 0-0 10-14 8 2 1 1 2 14 18 -
A. Stephens 33 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 6 7 -
C. Beasley 28 3-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
C. Craft 27 5-10 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
J. Wise 26 4-7 0-1 3-5 1 3 0 0 4 11 4 -
G. Bain 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dotson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel 39 6-12 1-5 7-10 0 2 0 0 4 20 6 -
Jj Taylor 37 8-24 6-15 3-4 4 3 1 0 2 25 7 -
T. Davis 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 0 0 11 -
K. Zondervan 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 2 2 -
C. Cartwright 26 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 0 -
S. Billings 16 3-3 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 3 0 9 13 -
M. Battle 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Young 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Yotio 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Speraw 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter