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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.9% 81.1% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Roby 50 11-18 1-5 9-10 12 3 2 2 7 32 26 -
M. Hall 48 10-19 2-7 3-5 4 10 0 0 2 25 18 -
C. Higgins 46 5-6 0-1 0-2 8 3 0 1 2 10 14 -
D. Thorne II 38 5-10 3-8 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 14 6 -
M. King-Stockton 28 2-2 0-0 1-5 6 2 1 5 3 5 14 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 27 1-7 0-0 3-4 8 3 0 0 1 5 8 -
L. Knutson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Coney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Dugat 43 5-10 3-4 6-6 5 0 4 0 1 19 17 -
C. Jerrells 42 6-18 1-7 7-8 5 6 2 0 3 20 12 -
T. Carter 42 6-13 3-8 1-2 4 0 1 0 4 16 4 -
K. Rogers 40 3-7 0-1 2-6 11 0 1 1 1 8 13 -
L. Dunn 38 7-14 1-7 5-7 7 0 2 0 1 20 14 -
A. Bruce 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Simpson 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Shepherd 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
M. Diene 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter