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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 17.0% 83.0% -
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 40 4-5 2-2 1-3 3 1 2 0 0 11 12 -
R. Barrett 38 9-15 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 20 10 -
F. Tolbert 36 4-13 1-4 8-10 5 1 1 1 5 17 7 -
L. Hargrove 34 6-13 3-5 1-2 8 2 1 0 2 16 12 -
D. Reed 32 2-11 2-8 2-2 1 9 0 0 0 8 7 -
Q. Prowell 11 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
M. Heramb 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
L. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 34 9-14 6-9 2-2 4 2 1 1 0 26 20 -
A. Gordon 31 5-8 1-3 3-4 1 4 0 0 3 14 8 -
J. Beal 28 2-4 2-4 1-2 4 7 0 0 0 7 14 -
R. Neltner 26 2-5 0-1 6-7 2 3 0 0 0 10 10 -
A.J. Ogilvy 26 12-13 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 2 3 27 18 -
A. Walker 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 6 0 0 4 3 11 -
K. Bell 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 1 2 0 3 -
D. McClellan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Graham 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Duffy 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Drake 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter