๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% - โœ—
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—

Actual: UMass Minutemen -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Coley 35 4-13 0-0 6-8 17 0 0 1 5 14 14 -
A. Wilderness 32 1-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
L. Goldwire 31 9-19 5-12 1-4 4 2 0 0 3 24 8 -
L. Mack 31 8-14 5-8 2-2 9 1 1 0 3 23 17 -
D. Harris 29 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 6 4 0 2 1 8 -
C. Dewhurst 14 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
P. Jones 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Gerrity 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
I. Andersen 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
G. Ngoundjo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Forbes 38 6-13 2-6 0-4 8 4 3 1 1 14 16 -
E. Brower 37 5-11 4-7 0-0 8 2 0 3 2 14 14 -
R. Harris 32 3-8 1-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 2 11 6 -
C. Lowe 30 5-9 1-2 1-3 2 2 3 0 2 12 8 -
D. Milligan 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 3 4 5 5 6 -
T. Gaffney 18 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 1 1 3 1 3 8 -
G. Correia 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
M. Glass 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Bonner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter