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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Gamecocks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Downey 40 4-13 1-5 3-6 7 11 3 0 2 12 18 -
Z. Fredrick 36 5-14 1-5 1-3 2 3 1 0 3 12 1 -
M. Holmes 35 8-13 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 16 10 -
E. Baniulis 34 4-9 4-9 4-5 2 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
D. Archie 33 7-12 1-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 15 14 -
D. Day 13 2-4 2-4 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
S. Muldrow 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
C. Gray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Raley-Ross 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Randolph 40 9-15 0-1 4-6 8 1 0 0 6 22 10 -
M. Thornton 38 6-14 3-10 2-2 6 2 3 0 3 17 11 -
C. Johnson 37 5-8 1-3 2-2 14 0 0 1 6 13 14 -
A. Farrer 30 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 10 11 -
G. Temple 26 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. Martin 23 4-7 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
Q. Thornton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Spencer 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter