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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators -11 (69-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 34 9-14 8-12 0-1 4 1 2 1 3 26 17 -
D. Jemison 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
R. Hendrix 30 7-13 0-0 8-10 8 4 3 2 2 22 24 -
R. Pickett 26 1-2 0-0 6-11 6 6 0 1 3 8 16 -
B. Hollinger 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 0 6 -
A. Gee 21 4-5 0-0 5-8 2 0 2 0 3 13 9 -
Y. Coleman 17 1-2 0-0 3-8 8 1 0 0 2 5 10 -
S. Hillman 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 34 3-12 1-5 2-3 2 4 3 0 2 9 4 -
D. Werner 33 2-10 2-8 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 6 1 -
W. Hodge 32 3-9 0-4 1-2 0 2 0 0 3 7 -3 -
J. Lucas 25 2-7 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. Tyus 21 3-9 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
M. Speights 20 5-6 0-0 5-6 7 2 0 1 1 15 18 -
C. Parsons 19 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
A. Allen 13 2-4 0-2 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
J. Mitchell 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter