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2008-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 38 6-13 2-5 2-2 0 4 7 0 2 16 12 -
R. Kuksiks 36 4-9 3-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 5 -
T. Abbott 35 1-8 0-3 1-2 4 0 2 2 1 3 2 -
J. Ayres 31 3-4 0-0 7-8 6 0 2 2 2 13 17 -
D. Glasser 26 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 2 -3 -
J. McMillan 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Shipp 11 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
E. Boateng 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo 40 8-17 3-7 4-4 2 6 2 1 5 23 12 -
T. Gibson 37 5-8 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 3 5 11 11 -
D. Hackett 35 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 6 3 -
D. Jefferson 28 3-7 0-0 5-5 9 1 0 0 3 11 11 -
D. Lewis 26 2-8 0-4 0-1 6 1 2 0 3 4 2 -
A. Johnson 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Wilkinson 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
M. Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter