Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Catchings | 34 | 7-11 | 5-5 | 6-9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A. Feaster | 15 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Whittington | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Bond | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Ngoyisa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| T. Smith | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Farris | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| L. Sanders | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Y. Oga | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter