Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 35 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Feaster | 16 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Bond | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Ngoyisa | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Whittington | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 29 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 27 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Brunson | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Smith | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Harper | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Franklin | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Kelly | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter