Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (94-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Santos | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kristen O'Neill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 31 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yuko Oga | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter