Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +2 (94-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 36 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 8-20 | 1-9 | 14-15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 3 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 21 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Farris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Y. Oga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 38 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Snow | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| R. Hodges | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Dixon | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 13 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. White | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Holmes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter