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UC Riverside Highlanders 62
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 54
2008-03-12

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - ✓
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 ✗ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - ✓
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (54-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cunningham 32 8-17 1-4 6-9 6 2 2 0 3 23 13 -
J. Diggs 32 0-4 0-1 7-8 2 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
C. Barlow 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 0 2 2 12 -
C. Soto 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
S. Cunningham 25 3-9 1-1 2-4 2 2 1 0 1 9 4 -
A. Scott 24 4-7 0-0 3-6 8 0 1 0 2 11 11 -
S. Gates 18 1-6 1-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -
B.J. Visman 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Creppy 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Clark 33 2-7 0-2 1-4 4 0 2 0 1 5 3 -
L. Keeler 32 4-13 3-10 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 13 1 -
T. Shelton 30 1-3 0-0 11-14 8 0 1 0 3 13 16 -
S. Lewis 28 4-9 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
C. Thomas 25 2-11 1-7 4-4 3 3 3 1 2 9 6 -
M. Hanson 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Vance 14 1-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Manley 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Anderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Higgins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter