Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -37 (62-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sam | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Smith | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Nolan | 23 | 11-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| K. Braxton | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| O. Sanni | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Currie | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Blue | 29 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Sanford | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Beard | 22 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Smith | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Miller | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| L. Koehn | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Wecker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Mosby | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter