Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Alison Bales * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 23 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 18 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Tamera Young | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kasha Terry | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ann Strother | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tan White * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Catchings | 25 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Allison Feaster | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| LaToya Bond | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bernadette Ngoyisa | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter