Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Johnson | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Scotton | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| N. Stocks | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Clark | 0 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| O. Terry | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jarrett | 0 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Green | 0 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. Mcdonald | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Demuth | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Rusche | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter