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2008-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 โœ“ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lisa Leslie * 35 2-11 0-1 5-8 11 2 1 4 5 9 11 -
Candace Parker * 33 6-14 0-0 2-5 6 1 2 2 5 14 6 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 31 4-8 1-3 2-3 5 3 1 0 3 11 9 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 25 2-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 6 1 -
Shannon Bobbitt * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Amber Jacobs 11 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Sidney Spencer 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kiesha Brown 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Christi Thomas 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Raffaella Masciadri 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 34 8-19 2-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 18 6 -
Yolanda Griffith * 30 3-6 0-0 0-0 12 3 4 0 1 6 18 -
Swin Cash * 29 5-13 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 0 3 12 6 -
Lauren Jackson * 29 4-13 1-3 5-6 5 0 0 5 2 14 9 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 28 5-9 0-1 3-6 8 2 0 1 1 13 14 -
Tanisha Wright 23 2-9 0-1 1-2 4 3 3 0 1 5 5 -
Ashley Robinson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
Katie Gearlds 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Camille Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kelly Santos 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter