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2008-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 39 4-13 3-10 2-2 2 2 3 0 3 13 4 -
D. Nolan 37 2-13 1-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 5 -3 -
C. Ford 29 5-9 0-0 1-3 12 2 0 0 3 11 13 -
T. Humphrey 20 5-8 1-4 0-0 5 3 2 2 1 11 14 -
P. Pierson 19 6-12 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
S. Sam 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 2 5 -
A. Hornbuckle 15 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Braxton 10 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
S. Lovelace 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Christon 34 5-12 0-3 9-9 5 1 4 0 2 19 15 -
L. Moore 30 4-9 3-6 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 13 12 -
C. Kraayeveld 30 3-11 3-7 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
J. McCarville 24 4-9 0-0 5-5 7 2 1 1 3 13 12 -
L. Willis 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 1 1 7 6 -
E. Carson 19 2-6 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
T. Jackson-Jones 15 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 1 0 2 7 8 -
L. Mitchell 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Larkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Battle 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter