Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 29 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 26 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Yuko Oga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 35 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 12-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Camille Smith | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kristen O'Neill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter