Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Farris | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Y. Oga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Quigley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson | 34 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 12-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 11 | - |
| S. Cash | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Bird | 32 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 27 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| T. Wright | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter