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2008-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 โœ— (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tanisha Wright * 34 5-9 0-1 1-1 5 6 0 0 3 11 10 -
Sue Bird * 32 6-11 4-5 0-0 5 9 2 0 2 16 19 -
Swin Cash * 28 5-7 0-0 4-7 5 2 1 3 7 14 11 -
Lauren Jackson * 28 7-14 2-3 1-2 9 1 1 1 0 17 15 -
Yolanda Griffith * 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Camille Smith 22 5-6 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
Katie Gearlds 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Sheryl Swoopes 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ashley Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Kristen O'Neill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Powell * 30 3-11 1-4 4-4 4 4 3 0 1 11 10 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 27 5-11 0-0 1-5 5 0 1 2 0 11 8 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 24 2-7 0-1 2-3 0 1 1 0 2 6 -1 -
Kara Lawson * 23 0-5 0-3 4-4 1 2 1 0 3 4 0 -
Adrian Williams-Strong * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Chelsea Newton 20 1-4 0-0 3-3 2 2 2 0 1 5 6 -
Scholanda Dorrell 16 1-3 1-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 6 5 -
Crystal Kelly 16 4-5 0-0 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 12 10 -
Laura Harper 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
A'Quonesia Franklin 8 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
Kim Smith 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter