Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 38 | 9-20 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | - |
| S. Johnson | 33 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| T. Dixon | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Snow | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| E. White | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hodges | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 35 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 9-19 | 5-13 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Farris | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter