Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Whitmore | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Holt | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Gardin | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| L. Whalen | 23 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Gruda | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Anderson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Carey | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Raymond | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 40 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Smith | 39 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| P. Pierson | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| C. Ford | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Sam | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter