Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 3-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -7 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| L. Willingham | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 22 | 6-17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Farris | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Y. Oga | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 36 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 27 | - |
| L. Leslie | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 34 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| S. Spencer | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Moore | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Page | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter