Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (83-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Christon | 29 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 28 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. McCarville | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| L. Moore | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson | 19 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Willis | 14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Larkins | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Battle | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Thorn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| L. Sanders | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Quigley | 17 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| B. Farris | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Y. Oga | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter