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2008-07-03

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Essence Carson * 31 7-14 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 2 16 6 -
Shameka Christon * 30 6-13 4-7 3-5 2 2 1 0 1 19 10 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 29 4-9 2-4 1-2 4 0 2 2 2 11 8 -
Loree Moore * 26 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 5 2 2 -
Janel McCarville * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Tiffany Jackson 22 1-5 0-0 6-6 9 1 0 1 6 8 8 -
Erlana Larkins 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 8 8 -
Leilani Mitchell 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 0 6 -
Lisa Willis 11 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Ashley Battle 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
Erin Thorn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 35 10-13 0-2 3-3 1 6 0 0 2 23 15 -
Swin Cash * 32 3-11 0-0 2-2 10 1 2 0 2 8 8 -
Lauren Jackson * 31 12-20 2-6 7-8 7 0 1 2 2 33 21 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 30 4-7 0-2 1-2 7 6 2 0 1 9 16 -
Yolanda Griffith * 26 1-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 4 0 3 4 6 -
Tanisha Wright 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
Camille Smith 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 2 0 -
Ashley Robinson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 2 6 -
Katie Gearlds 4 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kristen O'Neill 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter