Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dubois | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Washington III | 31 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| D. Jackson | 29 | 2-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | - |
| J. Owens-Murray | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Johnson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Johnson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Gonzalez | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Dumas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Nurse | 11 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Rivers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Kangas | 35 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - |
| D. Nelson | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 8-15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| T. Williams | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Waterstradt | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| W. Hudson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. McCloskey | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| S. Lawal | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| P. Bunn | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter