Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +30 (79-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| E. Holloway | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Slack | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Richardson | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Dyer | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sampay | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Odzic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Rubin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Moor | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Vandello | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Emmenecker | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Cox | 33 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| J. Young | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Korver | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Houston | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hall | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Parker | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Dirks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Avery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter