Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 34 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Lucas | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 28 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Naymick | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Allen | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Summers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler | 40 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Lighty | 37 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| O. Hunter | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Turner | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Koufos | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Diebler | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter