Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mccants | 0 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| H. Claytor | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
* = starter