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2008-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 32 7-14 3-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 17 8 -
K. Grant 32 4-8 3-5 6-6 4 1 0 0 2 17 12 -
R. Hummel 30 3-8 1-3 4-5 3 5 2 0 2 11 11 -
C. Kramer 26 0-4 0-1 3-4 4 4 3 0 2 3 8 -
S. Martin 21 1-2 1-1 5-6 2 2 3 0 1 8 12 -
M. Green 17 3-8 0-2 2-2 7 1 4 0 0 8 12 -
N. Calasan 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 2 -1 -
J. Johnson 13 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
T. Crump 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Riddell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Mocas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Sutor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wohlford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grady 36 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 5 3 0 5 0 -1 -
D. Sims 34 7-15 1-6 4-7 6 0 2 0 1 19 11 -
E. Udoh 32 5-12 1-1 2-2 9 6 0 3 1 13 18 -
M. Harris 25 3-8 1-3 3-4 0 0 2 0 7 10 -3 -
A. Wright 21 2-8 2-8 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
R. Coleman 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 3 8 -
C.J. Lee 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 3 5 -
Z. Gibson 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 3 2 1 -
J. Shepherd 5 1-3 0-1 0-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Block 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter