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2008-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 35 4-9 2-5 3-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
D. Werner 35 3-7 1-4 2-2 8 3 1 1 3 9 12 -
W. Hodge 31 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
M. Speights 29 8-11 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 1 2 20 16 -
N. Calathes 23 5-7 2-4 4-7 0 6 1 0 2 16 14 -
C. Parsons 23 1-6 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 0 4 3 2 -
J. Mitchell 12 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Allen 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Tyus 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley 40 5-12 2-5 2-5 2 7 1 0 4 14 8 -
J. Crawford 38 7-17 2-7 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 16 2 -
P. Stevenson 36 6-6 0-0 6-8 10 0 2 5 2 18 27 -
D. Jasper 31 5-5 4-4 0-3 3 1 0 0 0 14 13 -
R. Harris 25 3-5 2-2 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
M. Porter 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A.J. Stewart 11 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Coury 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter