Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -6 (52-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alexander | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 37 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| E. Bell | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Weaver | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| N. Shaw | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Williams | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Akpan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rogers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibson | 40 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 11-16 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| I. Allen | 38 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Smith | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Ludwick | 28 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| K. Spencer | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Dade | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Francis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E.B. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter