Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +30 (97-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 28 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| T. Clark | 28 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2 | - |
| M. Hanson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Thomas | 24 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Vance | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Anderson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Manley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Higgins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tresvant | 28 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 27 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 24 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Townsend | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Haynes | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Miller | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Heard | 21 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| R. Colston | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Mels | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter