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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drca 36 3-10 1-4 0-0 6 5 0 0 4 7 4 -
S. Green 34 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Brown 31 4-6 0-1 2-3 1 3 0 0 0 10 8 -
L. Nevill 27 9-15 0-0 4-5 6 2 2 2 3 22 16 -
J. Bryant 27 5-11 2-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 12 3 -
L. Borha 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Tillie 16 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
T. Kepkay 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Grim 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Terry 38 7-12 4-6 4-4 5 10 1 0 6 22 20 -
R. Rougeau 38 4-11 0-1 0-0 8 2 2 3 1 8 11 -
C. Bailey 34 6-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 14 11 -
W. Adams 34 2-7 1-5 9-11 3 1 1 0 2 14 10 -
J. Darger 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
M. Shaw 20 3-4 3-3 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
M. Rutledge 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
K. Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter