Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.