Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +14 (56-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Josten | 39 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Viet | 36 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Coleman | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| A. Koch | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Brown | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Dunham | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Reed | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Richardson | 33 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Dyer | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Holloway | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Sampay | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Slack | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Rubin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Odzic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter