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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% -
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watts 33 5-9 2-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
B. Woodfox 29 5-13 3-9 0-1 3 2 2 0 1 13 6 -
P. Stinnett 28 5-10 2-4 6-6 0 1 0 2 3 18 8 -
C. Witter 28 4-12 0-3 3-4 3 3 2 0 1 11 6 -
K. Lawson Jr. 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 1 6 13 -
N. Bahe 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Millard 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 6 -
J. Dotzler 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Walker II 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 4 7 -
P. Hibma 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Harriman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Korver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Emmenecker 37 4-10 0-0 12-13 5 11 0 0 3 20 23 -
J. Cox 34 4-6 1-2 1-5 11 0 0 1 1 10 15 -
L. Houston 34 4-13 3-8 3-4 7 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
K. Korver 34 4-10 3-9 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
J. Young 33 6-10 2-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 8 -
B. Heemskerk 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Baryenbruch 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hall 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Parker 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter