Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (46-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 38 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Wade | 36 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 31 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Maren | 38 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Johnson | 37 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Anderson | 37 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Washington | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Henke | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Hood | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Holland | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter