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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 7.7% 92.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hoffarber 28 4-7 4-6 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 14 12 -
L. McKenzie 27 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
D. Coleman 26 0-8 0-1 4-5 3 1 1 1 0 4 2 -
S. Tollackson 26 4-6 0-0 1-6 1 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
A. Nolen 23 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 7 1 0 1 0 4 -
D. Johnson 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 3 7 7 -
K. Payton 19 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
L. Westbrook 15 4-4 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
J. Abu-Shamala 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Williams 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier 34 2-6 1-3 0-1 8 3 0 0 0 5 10 -
B. Randle 27 1-6 0-0 2-4 12 3 0 2 2 4 13 -
D. McCamey 27 2-4 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 8 3 -
T. Meacham 26 6-9 4-5 5-8 1 0 1 0 2 21 12 -
C. Brock 25 6-12 0-2 5-6 7 1 1 0 1 17 13 -
S. Pruitt 22 1-3 0-0 5-7 8 2 1 0 3 7 12 -
M. Davis 16 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Tisdale 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
J. Jordan 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Hicks 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Holdren 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter