Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thornton | 40 | 13-27 | 6-12 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 13 | - |
| G. Temple | 40 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Randolph | 32 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Farrer | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Martin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Spencer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| G. Green | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 39 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Gordon | 37 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 36 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 18 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 35 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Varnado | 27 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| E. Bailey | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter