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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Log Adjusted 80.8% 19.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Neltner 37 4-7 2-2 3-4 7 0 1 0 3 13 11 -
S. Foster 37 7-16 3-8 4-5 4 1 2 0 2 21 10 -
A.J. Ogilvy 31 5-12 0-0 7-10 10 1 1 1 4 17 14 -
K. Bell 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 7 1 0 1 3 5 -
A. Walker 27 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 8 7 -
A. Gordon 22 1-8 1-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 -2 -
D. McClellan 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Beal 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Metcalfe 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
G. Drake 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 42 8-16 6-13 4-6 10 3 2 1 3 26 23 -
D. Jemison 37 1-5 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 1 4 9 -
A. Gee 36 5-12 2-5 4-4 6 2 5 0 2 16 15 -
B. Hollinger 33 1-4 1-2 3-4 1 6 1 0 2 6 8 -
R. Hendrix 29 5-9 0-0 2-4 11 0 2 2 4 12 14 -
Y. Coleman 17 1-3 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
R. Pickett 16 2-7 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 6 1 -
S. Hillman 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -
J. Knox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Torrance 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter