Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +11 (97-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Epps | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Hunter | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Guignard | 30 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Griffin | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| L. Posey | 22 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Parker | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Vereen | 10 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Holder | 35 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | - |
| B. Bush | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Benson | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. White | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Moseley | 15 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Johnson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Thomas | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Sloan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gough | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter