Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hornbuckle | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelley | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Thompson | 32 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Tucker | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Reed | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Carr | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| V. Vojinovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Johnson | 33 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson | 32 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| B. Johnson | 29 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Ginty | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Pomare | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Houston | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Lewis | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Lozeau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Price | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter