Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 0 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P. Kellum | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 13-20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 16 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| H. Claytor | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 10-18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
* = starter