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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Littles 0 5-19 -2 5-8 14 15 10
A. Mohammed 0 4-8 - 2-4 4 10 6
P. Kellum 0 1-5 - - 2 2 -1
M. Wright 0 13-20 3-6 2-4 5 31 16
S. Zoll 0 3-7 -3 - 3 9 6 11

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. DeGraffenreid 0 3-9 - 1-2 2 7 0
H. Claytor 0 -2 - - 2 0
R. Mccants 0 9-16 1-3 4-4 10 3 23 20
L. Sanders 0 6-15 - 3-6 8 15 8
E. Larkins 0 2-10 - 10-18 15 3 14 22

* = starter